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Ian Gregory
IFDC
David Rohrbach
World Bank (Tanzania)

Reducing global poverty and hunger requires accelerating growth in the agriculture sector through improvements in sustainable productivity. Smallholder farmers have the potential to increase productivity through the application of technology and knowledge, and through participation in input and output markets. Constrained by lack of resources, aversion to risk, and access to markets, smallholder farmers can benefit from assistance directed to their needs. Subsidizing quality inputs of seed and fertilizer to raise productivity has been a policy tool used for decades in developing economies, although economic efficiency has been poor.
Over the past decade, fertilizer (and seed) voucher schemes dubbed “smart subsidies” have been used by national governments and donors with various objectives and with questionable results. In particular, several governments in sub-Saharan Africa hurriedly introduced voucher schemes to subsidize fertilizer in response to the international fertilizer price spike of 2007 and 2008. This presentation, based on lessons learned, sets out the essential objectives of voucher schemes; the detailed planning and targeting required for successful, beneficial, and efficient implementation; their role as just one tool in sustainable market development; and the need for exit strategies from the usually high and unsustainable support cost.
Ian Gregory is an agribusiness market development specialist with 40 years experience in agro-inputs marketing. His current responsibilities are to provide assistance on project design and implementation and agribusiness technical assistance to the IFDC EurAsia Division Program. He managed IFDC’s agribusiness development projects for ten years, and from 2002 to 2005 served as director of the Market Development Division. He has been extensively involved in designing, implementing and monitoring agro-input voucher programs in Eurasia and sub-Saharan Africa. Since joining IFDC, he has provided technical assistance and training in agri-input marketing, financial analysis, pre-feasibility studies and policy development and implementation in Africa, Asia, the Caribbean, Central Asia, Eastern Europe, Latin America, and Russia. He has authored or co-authored more than 35 publications and technical reports on agri-input marketing systems, marketing and project pre-feasibility in developing countries. He prepared an extensive range of training materials for IFDC. Prior to joining IFDC, he served as a corporate business analyst with Incitec Ltd. in Australia for 19 years. He was previously a farm extension advisor in the United Kingdom and Australia. He was awarded a B.S. in agricultural science and agricultural economics and an M.S. in crop husbandry from University of Wales, United Kingdom.
Dr. David Rohrbach is a Senior Agricultural Economist for the World Bank, currently based in Dar es Salaam. During the past five years he has managed components of the Bank’s agricultural portfolio in Tanzania, Malawi and Zimbabwe. This includes support for fertilizer voucher programmes in all three countries. Prior to joining the Bank in 2006, he worked in various institutes of the Consultative Group for International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) including CIMMYT (1983), IFPRI (1988-94) and ICRISAT (1988-2006). He has resided and worked in southern Africa for the past 26 years – mostly on issues of agricultural technology change, crop improvement, market development and commodity risk management.
I greatly enjoyed the panel this morning. Could you please share the powerpoint presentations? they were full of helpful information and details I would like to review. Thanks!
Hello Katharine - We're so glad you enjoyed today's Ag Sector Council Seminar! A PDF of the presentation is now posted at the following link: http://agrilinks.kdid.org/library/voucher-schemes-enhanced-fertilizer-use-lessons-learned-and-policy-implications-presentation. We will also post the screencast, audio, and transcripts early next week.
Thank you to everyone who attended the January 25 ASC Seminar, whether in person or by webinar. We have posted a few questions below from our webinar participants that we were unable to answer during the event. Our presenters will provide answers shortly.
If you have any questions or comments about fertilizer voucher schemes, please post them here - we look forward to continuing the conversation!
Chris, Independent Consultant, Silver Spring, MD
[Ian,] you mentioned that behavior change takes 3 years. Does that apply to first movers only? In other words, once the first generation of farmers change their behavior and demonstrate these innovations to others. Will the second generation of farmers who observe their peers benefitting from innovation replicate the behavior change much more quickly than 3 years?
Behaviour change times are based on the evidence from the SPLIFA project in Malawi. Farmers who went through two cycles of the program demonstrated greater benefits in the second cycle than they had in the first cycle. It would be reasonable to assume that they had learned lessons from the first year and were able to improve their maize yields in the second. Farmers who joined the project in the second year did not exhibit any benefit from the experience of those farmers who had been through the program in the previous year. However there is not any empirical evidence for this. One might suppose that if a second generation of farmers included "early adopters" there could well be a faster behaviour change. All programs that been run have not had follow up monitoring and evaluation to provide the empirical evidence one way or the other.
Nadav, Fintrac, Washington, DC
Can you briefly mention some alternative strategies for strengthening competitive input markets?
There are a range of strategies being tested for strengthening input markets including: business training - esp for wholesalers and retailers; inventory credit; partial credit guarantees; complementary input demonstration programs and extension efforts; small enterprise development grants; development of trade associations. Input voucher programmes can have positive and negative impacts on input market development that planners need to be aware of, and monitor. The tendency in many programmes is to reduce competition in order to assure that inputs are efficiently exchanged for vouchers. Individual suppliers are contracted or registered and given monopoly priviledges to supply particular communities. The difficult trick is to assure efficient input supply to the village, while encouraging competition to redeem the vouchers.
David's comments are very valid, program designs often reduce competition at the retail level. Access to inputs for farmers is extremely important and if programs bring retail access close to farmers there are benefits that may outweigh a lack of competition at the retail level. Programs such as the one in Ghana which at first restricted the supply chain to those distributors and retailers connected to an importer penalised farmers not served by the importer's supply chain.
Frances, International Rescue Committee, UK
What are your thoughts about the smart timing of input subsidies (at or just after sales of harvest) such as those being tested by the JPAL researchers in Kenya?
Farmers commonly ask for inputs when they have cash to pay for them. This cash is more likely to be available after the harvest and during the main marketing season. It is less likely to be available, in most rainfed systems, at the time of planting. Therefore, it is logical to test subsidies involving a co-payment by the recipient just after crop sales. But when do these sales occur. many households sell just after harvest in order to avoid storage losses (and gain immediate cash). In some cases, the market demands the crop (e.g. a cash crop like cotton or paprika) immediately after harvest. But other farmers prefer to take advantage of rising prices later in the year - an effort being reinfiorced by the promotion of various types of warehousing systems. So the best timing will depend on farming system characteristics. Another option tested in Malawi is commitment savings - whereby a farmer sets aside cash in a 'locked' savings account just after harvest, and regains access to this during the planting period.
Yedilaklil, West Texas A&M University
There have been rumors that in some countries withholding subsidized fertilizer and seeds from opposition supporters has been used as a political tool. How do you prevent this kind of situation? Especially in undemocratic countries where critical NGOs and the media are curtailed?
Concerns about possible political favoratism in some countries have encouraged the organization of programmes outside of government channels - e.g. through NGOs. If NGOs are also curtailed, the scope for such assistance may be limited.
Yedilaklil, West Texas A&M University
It's obvious that a lot of holes have been poked into the mentioned subsidy programs but I am curious - is there any subsidy program that the WB can point out as a model instead of the hypothetical situations that have been highlighted?
None of what you heard is a hypothetical situation. All the exanples were real, and potential models. The point is the lessons derived from these schemes are growing and we should be methodically reviewing these lessons in an effort to identify improvements in the underlying strategies. I think improvements are being made in all the active programmes - some faster than others. And there are generally positive payoffs; the objective is to increase these further.
Thanks to Ian and David. Even though I was new to the subject area of fertilizer subsidy shcemes, the presentations were very informative. But with my background in information sceince and agriculture, I have reflected on the subject through the USAID Global Broadband and Innovation (GBI) portal: The Myth of E-Voucher Schemes for Enhanced Fertilizer Use
Feel free to comment on my reflection there.
Thanks,
Ben
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